Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.396050 0.456472 0.519831 0.590937 0.668231 0.749437 0.840931
2024-12-22 0.299612 0.380843 0.471274 0.578279 0.700321 0.834126 0.990864
2024-12-29 0.248877 0.345949 0.459899 0.600860 0.767950 0.957260 1.185522
2025-01-05 0.199116 0.303811 0.433471 0.600886 0.806535 1.046471 1.343128
2025-01-12 0.161016 0.269764 0.411651 0.602285 0.844041 1.133375 1.498781
2025-01-19 0.135425 0.247900 0.401850 0.616058 0.895181 1.236354 1.674710
2025-01-26 0.116474 0.232085 0.397542 0.635084 0.951997 1.346365 1.860406
2025-02-02 0.100646 0.218174 0.393773 0.653337 1.007113 1.454425 2.044865
2025-02-09 0.082098 0.196587 0.376293 0.650613 1.033190 1.525113 2.182988
2025-02-16 0.069900 0.183401 0.369548 0.661645 1.076917 1.618290 2.350012
2025-02-23 0.056913 0.166165 0.354460 0.658947 1.100771 1.685130 2.483647
2025-03-02 0.042392 0.142460 0.326080 0.634007 1.091702 1.707225 2.558889
2025-03-09 0.035575 0.133413 0.321556 0.645416 1.134966 1.800920 2.730210
2025-03-16 0.026905 0.117626 0.303373 0.634024 1.144510 1.848847 2.841934
2025-03-23 0.023813 0.114741 0.308143 0.659258 1.207948 1.971090 3.053358
2025-03-30 0.018732 0.104803 0.298452 0.660019 1.234708 2.042921 3.198277
2025-04-06 0.014656 0.096091 0.289971 0.661943 1.262763 2.116534 3.346070
2025-04-13 0.012208 0.091566 0.289325 0.676868 1.310594 2.218222 3.532593
2025-04-20 0.010467 0.088794 0.291935 0.697275 1.366985 2.332425 3.736938
2025-04-27 0.008905 0.085986 0.294101 0.716787 1.422174 2.445435 3.940596
2025-05-04 0.006528 0.078165 0.284164 0.713946 1.441955 2.507849 4.075347
2025-05-11 0.005188 0.074181 0.282441 0.725713 1.484810 2.603689 4.256726
2025-05-18 0.003630 0.067422 0.273183 0.722864 1.503923 2.665135 4.390876